Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 4.893513 5.297763 5.745367 6.283063 6.918884 7.656696 8.593050
2025-02-09 4.408374 4.946690 5.585099 6.416574 7.501544 8.919295 11.011609
2025-02-16 4.007931 4.622629 5.392233 6.465066 7.995794 10.247857 14.194757
2025-02-23 3.659200 4.313104 5.168551 6.432255 8.388639 11.630783 18.571619
2025-03-02 3.286395 3.928618 4.793503 6.123101 8.307235 12.283601 22.515207
2025-03-09 3.035559 3.680028 4.573757 6.006134 8.517241 13.629161 30.688540
2025-03-16 2.772714 3.390353 4.262570 5.698032 8.325633 14.119625 38.343159
2025-03-23 2.629915 3.255687 4.163049 5.716708 8.758867 16.439490 69.869924
2025-03-30 2.483472 3.103017 4.019565 5.638314 8.987862 18.547701 161.675385
2025-04-06 2.336831 2.938779 3.842002 5.473238 8.991048 20.087763 787.507456
2025-04-13 2.186374 2.759040 3.624848 5.207522 8.699771 20.386182 NaN
2025-04-20 2.120533 2.701123 3.597312 5.291752 9.286812 25.419321 NaN
2025-04-27 2.103702 2.725358 3.722147 5.732053 11.164682 47.579129 NaN
2025-05-04 2.044450 2.679533 3.725308 5.935525 12.603411 97.758147 NaN
2025-05-11 1.976641 2.615110 3.689646 6.053088 13.942536 364.242104 NaN
2025-05-18 1.903602 2.536994 3.621471 6.085226 15.069457 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.805831 2.412118 3.455725 5.850894 14.843142 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.735391 2.328559 3.360625 5.779180 15.437667 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.650061 2.215577 3.201131 5.518052 14.860853 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.604021 2.166084 3.159081 5.557408 16.091424 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 1.551719 2.103010 3.085448 5.500025 16.743553 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 1.494804 2.029260 2.985546 5.355214 16.708078 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 1.431826 1.942559 2.855031 5.109227 15.794250 NaN NaN